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CS

CARRIAGE SERVICES INC (CSV)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 was solid operationally: revenue grew 3.5% to $107.1M, adjusted diluted EPS rose 28% to $0.96, and funeral revenue increased 4.6% on higher at-need volume and price; GAAP EPS of $1.34 benefited from a discrete tax windfall and divestiture gains .
  • Results beat S&P Global consensus: revenue $107.1M vs $104.2M* and adjusted EPS $0.96 vs $0.84*, with management maintaining full-year 2025 guidance pending confirmation of momentum in Q2 (potential to raise after Q2) .
  • Cemetery preneed revenue advanced with higher average price (+11.8%), offset by fewer interment rights sold (-5.8%) due to timing of inventory availability at key cemeteries; management expects a return to 10–20% growth in Q2 as projects complete .
  • Deleveraging continued: leverage ratio improved to 4.2x (from 5.0x a year ago) as the company paid down $17M on the credit facility; non-core divestitures yielded $18.7M proceeds in Q1, with ~$6M more expected in Q2 (already in guidance) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Broad-based top-line execution: total revenue +3.5% YoY to $107.1M, with funeral operating revenue +4.6% and financial revenue +9.1% on strong preneed insurance sales and commissions .
    • Pricing/volume mix in funeral: at-need funeral volume +2.4% and average revenue per contract +2.2% YoY, aided by the delayed flu season and improved conversion on cremation mix .
    • Strategic progress and tone: “While April trends have remained strong… If our current momentum holds throughout the second quarter, we expect to raise guidance accordingly,” underscoring confidence while remaining prudent .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Margin dilution from planned investments: adjusted consolidated EBITDA margin fell 170 bps YoY to 30.8% due to ~$0.8M Trinity ERP and ~$0.8M Managing Partners Forum expenses that are not adjusted out .
    • Working capital headwinds: cash provided by operating activities decreased to $13.8M (vs $19.7M in Q1’24) on lower AP and accrued liabilities; adjusted FCF $13.4M vs $18.5M in Q1’24 .
    • Cemetery preneed unit softness: preneed interment rights sold declined to 3,100 from 3,244, with management citing temporary permitting/inventory delays at premier cemeteries; growth expected to reaccelerate in Q2 .

Financial Results

Overall performance vs prior year and prior quarter

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$103.5 $97.7 $107.1
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.45 $0.62 $1.34
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.75 $0.62 $0.96
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$33.6 $29.3 $32.9
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)32.5% 30.0% 30.8%
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$19.7 $9.3 $13.8

Consensus vs actual (S&P Global)

MetricQ1 2025 ConsensusQ1 2025 Actual
Revenue ($USD)$104,169,750*$107,069,000
Primary/Adjusted EPS ($)$0.84*$0.96

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment revenue breakdown

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q1 2024Q1 2025
Funeral Operating Revenue$66.0 $69.1
Cemetery Operating Revenue$26.4 $27.9
Financial Revenue$6.7 $7.4
Ancillary Revenue$1.25 $1.03
Divested Revenue$3.05 $1.65
Total Revenue$103.5 $107.1

Key operating KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Funeral Contracts (units)11,773 12,055
Avg Revenue per Funeral Contract ($)$5,610 $5,731
Burial Rate (%)33.3% 33.2%
Cremation Rate (%)59.3% 60.5%
Preneed Interment Rights Sold (units)3,244 3,100
Avg Price per Preneed Right ($)$4,985 $5,490

Non-GAAP/context notes: GAAP EPS of $1.34 included a discrete tax windfall from shares vesting above grant price and gains on divestitures; adjusted diluted EPS excludes special items and was $0.96 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Feb 26, 2025)Current Guidance (Apr 30, 2025)Change
Total Revenue ($M)FY 2025$400–$410 $400–$410 Maintained
Adjusted Consolidated EBITDA ($M)FY 2025$128–$133 $128–$133 Maintained
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$3.10–$3.30 $3.10–$3.30 Maintained
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($M)FY 2025$40–$50 $40–$50 Maintained
Overhead (% of revenue)FY 202513–14% 13–14% Maintained
Divestiture impact (Rev/EBITDA)1H 2025$($7.9M)/$($2.3M) $($7.9M)/$($2.3M) Maintained
Dividend per shareNext payment$0.1125 declared Jan/Apr$0.1125 payable Jun 2, 2025 No change

Management noted April remained strong and they “expect to raise guidance” after Q2 if momentum holds .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (10/30)Q4 2024 (2/27)Q1 2025 (5/1)Trend
Flu season timing / demandNoted strong results; no flu shift commentaryLate flu season shifted volume from Q4 to Q1; Jan/Feb up YoY Q1 benefited; April strong; cautious on extrapolating Improving near-term; seasonality normalized
Trinity ERPn/aPilot early 2025; efficiency and family portal vision Phase 1 live; Phase 2 targeted Q3; $0.8M Q1 expense On track; near-term cost headwind, LT efficiency
Supply chain programn/aLaunched urn core line; casket/fleet to follow Urn core live; fleet savings; casket next; EFF partnership rolling out Cost savings building through 2025
Cemetery preneed+27.1% preneed sales YoY Continued strength; FY guide underscored Q1 units down on inventory timing; expect 10–20% growth from Q2 Short-term dip; rebound expected
Capital allocation / leverageLeverage 4.3x; deleveraging Leverage 4.3x; plan 3.7–3.8x YE’25 Leverage 4.2x; $18.7M divestitures; more M&A H2’25 Balance sheet strengthening; M&A to resume
Tariffs/macron/aCautious macro; price discipline Tariff impact <10 bps; macro mixed; prudent guidance Limited tariff risk; macro watch

Management Commentary

  • “For the first quarter, we reported total revenue of $107.1 million… funeral operating revenue… $69.1 million… driven by… average revenue per contract… and… at-need volume” .
  • “Adjusted consolidated EBITDA margin was 30.8%, a decrease of 170 bps… primarily driven by… Trinity… $800,000 and… Managing Partners Forum… $800,000. We do not adjust for either of these” .
  • “While April trends have remained strong… If our current momentum holds throughout the second quarter, we expect to raise guidance accordingly” .
  • “Cash provided by operating activities… was $13.8 million, down $5.9 million… driven by… reductions in accounts payable and accrued liabilities” .
  • “We paid $17 million toward our outstanding debt… leverage ratio of 4.2x… credit facility at $120 million drawn” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Funeral momentum: April tracked low single-digit growth in both pricing and volume, suggesting continued normalization post-COVID .
  • Cemetery preneed dip: Management attributed lower Q1 units to permitting/inventory delays at key cemeteries; projects are now completing, and 10–20% YoY preneed growth is expected starting Q2 .
  • Divestitures and M&A: ~$18.7M Q1 proceeds realized; another ~$6M likely in Q2 (already in guide). Back-half 2025 M&A updates expected (Q3/Q4) .
  • Cost savings: Supply chain initiatives (urns, caskets, fleet) and digital efforts (websites/surveys) are driving or expected to drive savings; fleet (~800 vehicles) is a key focus .
  • Tariffs: Insignificant 2025 P&L impact (<10 bps full-year) .

Estimates Context

  • CSV beat S&P Global consensus on both revenue and EPS: $107.1M vs $104.2M* revenue, and $0.96 vs $0.84* adjusted EPS for Q1’25. Guidance was maintained with a stated bias to raise after Q2 if momentum persists .
  • Prior quarters also beat: Q4’24 revenue $97.7M vs $96.7M* and EPS $0.62 vs $0.51* .
  • Potential estimate revisions: management’s comment about possibly raising full-year outlook post-Q2, plus continued April strength, may support upward bias to FY EPS/EBITDA if Q2 trends hold .

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality beats with constructive tone: top and bottom-line beats vs consensus and commentary that April remained strong increase the probability of a mid-year guidance raise if trends persist .
  • Near-term margin headwind, long-term tailwind: Trinity and leadership investments compressed Q1 margin by 170 bps, but ERP/supply chain initiatives should yield efficiency and savings as rollout progresses in 2H’25 .
  • Cemetery growth set to reaccelerate: Q1 unit softness was timing-related; management expects a return to 10–20% YoY preneed growth in Q2 as inventory becomes available .
  • Balance sheet improving; optionality rising: leverage down to 4.2x, continued divestiture proceeds, and back-half M&A create catalysts for growth and multiple support .
  • Demand normalization: funeral at-need volume and pricing growing modestly; cremation mix managed via improved conversion to services and memorialization, supporting ARPU .
  • Limited tariff/macro risk cited: management expects tariffs to be immaterial (<10 bps impact in 2025); macro commentary remains cautious but not thesis-breaking .
  • Trading setup: watch Q2 run-rate and cemetery sales cadence; a confirmed Q2 beat with guidance raise could be a catalyst, while delays in Trinity benefits or cemetery inventory could defer upside .

Appendices

Adjusted vs GAAP EPS context (Q1 2025)

  • GAAP diluted EPS: $1.34, aided by discrete tax windfall and divestiture gains .
  • Adjusted diluted EPS: $0.96, up 28% YoY, excludes special items .

Dividend

  • Quarterly cash dividend of $0.1125 per share declared April 17, 2025; payable June 2, 2025 to holders of record May 5, 2025 .

Full guidance detail (reiterated)

  • FY25: Revenue $400–$410M; Adjusted EBITDA $128–$133M; Adjusted diluted EPS $3.10–$3.30; Adjusted FCF $40–$50M; Overhead 13–14% of revenue. Includes expected divestitures (~$7.9M revenue, ~$2.3M EBITDA) .

Citations: Q1 2025 press release and 8‑K ; Q1 2025 earnings call ; Q4 2024 press release/call ; Q3 2024 press release ; Dividend PR . Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.